1. ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-070 // 2007

    The Phillips Curve and NAIRU Revisited: New Estimates for Germany

    This paper provides new estimates of a time–varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by German unification based on the Kalman Filter and on a partially linear model as two…

  2. ZEW/Prognos-Transportmarktbarometer // 2007

    3. Quartal 2007

    Bei Frachtkosten werden Preissteigerungen erwartet

    Im deutschen Strassen- und Schienengüterverkehr, bei interkontinentaler Luftfracht nach Europa, Nordamerika und in Richtung Asien/Pazifik sowie bei den…

  3. ZEW Documentation No. 07-02 // 2007

    The Role of Demand in Innovation - A Lead Market Analysis for High-tech Industries in the EU-25

    A Lead Market approach is used for each of 25 European Union member states (EU-25) to assess the likelihood that locally preferred innovation designs become successful in other countries. The analyses are…

  4. Refereed Journal // 2007

    The Returns to Continuous Training in Germany: New Evidence from Propensity Score Matching Estimators

    The present paper examines the wage effects of continuous training programs using individual-level data from the German Socio Economic Panel (GSOEP). In order to account for selectivity in training participation…

  5. Financial Market Report Switzerland // 2007

    December 2007

    • Current Economic Situation and Expectations Worsen in November
    • Eurozone: Inflationary and Economic Risks
    • United States: Further Interest-Rate Cuts Expected
    • Japan: Experts Anticipate Rising Inflation
    • Great Britain:…
  6. ZEW-Branchenreport Informationswirtschaft // 2007

    Jahrgang 6, Nr. 4 , Dezember 2007

    Konjunktur bei Dienstleistern der Informationsgesellschaft stabilisiert sich

    Die konjunkturelle Lage bei den Dienstleistern der Informationsgesellschaft hat sich im vierten Quartal 2007 stabilisiert. Der ZEW-IDI…

  7. ZEW-Wachstums- und Konjunkturanalysen // 2007

    Nr. 4 (Dezember) - 2007

    • Konjunkturaussichten Deutschland: Die Risiken haben zugenommen
    • Die voraussichtliche Lage in der EWU
    • Ergebnisse der Novemberumfrage 2007
    • Stimmung und Erwartungen der Dienstleister trüben sich ein
    • Institutionelle…
  8. ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-069 // 2007

    Exports and Productivity - Comparable Evidence for 14 Countries

    We use comparable micro level panel data for 14 countries and a set of identically specified empirical models to investigate the relationship between exports and productivity. Our overall results are in line…

  9. Financial Market Report CEE // 2007

    December 2007

    • Pessimistic Economic Expectations for the CEE Region Prevail
    • Czech Republic, Poland, and Slovakia: Less Dynamic Economic Development Starting From a High Level
    • Croatia, Hungary, and Romania: Situation and…
  10. ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-068 // 2007

    Projecting the Medium-Term: Outcomes and Errors for GDP Growth

    The focus of this paper is the evaluation of a very popular method for potential output estimation and medium-term forecasting— the production function approach—in terms of predictive performance. For this…