1. Refereed Journal // 2023

    Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations

    An increasing number of household and firm surveys ask for subjective probabilities that the inflation rate falls into various outcome ranges. We provide a new measure of the uncertainty implicit in such…

  2. ZEW Discussion Paper No. 23-038 // 2023

    The Benefits of Auctioneer Competition: Merging Auctions and Adding Auctioneers

    In a lab experiment, we analyze the benefits of increasing competition on auction platforms hosting multiple auctioneers of a homogeneous good. We find that increasing competition by merging separated individual…

  3. ZEW expert brief No. 23-04 // 2023

    Die ermäßigte Mehrwertsteuer in der Gastronomie

    Die Anwendung des ermäßigten Mehrwertsteuersatzes auf Restaurant-Dienstleistungen wird nach jetzigem Rechtsstand zum Jahresende auslaufen. Diese Ausnahme war 2020 als vorübergehende steuerpolitische Hilfe für…

  4. Discussion and Working Paper // 2023

    Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes

    Central bank surveys frequently elicit households’ probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. The responses provide only a coarse picture of inflation beliefs further away from zero. Using data from the…

  5. Discussion and Working Paper // 2023

    Testing for differences in survey-based density forecasts: A compositional data approach

    We propose to treat survey-based density expectations as compositional data when testing either for heterogeneity in density forecasts across different groups of agents or for changes over time. Monte Carlo…

  6. Refereed Journal // 2023

    Conditional macroeconomic survey forecasts: Revisions and errors

    Using data from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters and ECB/Eurosystem staff projections, we analyze the role of ex-ante conditioning variables for macroeconomic forecasts. In…

  7. Refereed Journal // 2023

    Estimating pass-through rates for the 2022 tax reduction on fuel prices in Germany

    We analyze the effectiveness of the German tax reduction on fuel prices (‘Tankrabatt’) that was introduced for three months, starting on 1 June 2022. We use the synthetic difference-in-differences estimator to…

  8. Refereed Journal // 2023

    E-commerce, delivery drones and their impact on cities

    E-commerce has gained importance over the last years and the COVID-19 pandemic has further strengthened this development. With the increasing opportunities that novel transport technologies, amongst them cargo…

  9. ZEW Monthly // 2023

    09/2023 – Pension Planning

    The German pension system is facing major challenges. Demographic change, which is increasingly skewing the ratio of contributors to pensioners, is creating ever greater pressure for reform. The baby boomer…

  10. Contributions to Edited Volumes and Conference Proceedings // 2023

    Klimaaktivismus